Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 962 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

AS 962 · LAX → OGG

departs 10:07 AM PT · arrives 12:50 PM HT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 962 · LAX → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?