AS 9707 · SCC → ANC

departs 9:33 AM AKT · arrives 11:32 AM AKT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at SCC that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ANC that day

↑ Other factors

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

↓ SCC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SCC (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.04 in

ANC (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 9707 · SCC → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?