tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 202 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AV 202 · MDE → MCO

departs 12:34 PM -05 · arrives 5:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.