Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1006
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
B6 1006 · ORD → JFK
departs 12:37 PM CT · arrives 3:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 20%
Thu 10/29 31%
Fri 10/30 48%
Sat 10/31 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.