Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 255
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
B6 255 · JFK → PLS
departs 9:31 AM ET · arrives 1:19 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 17%
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30 31%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PLS more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PLS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at PLS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PLS?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at PLS that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
9am departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PLS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.