B6 2594 · FLL → BWI

departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 9:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±13 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.39 in

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2594 · FLL → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?