B6 438 · MCO → BDL

departs 8:59 AM ET · arrives 11:53 AM ET

Your aircraft is N504JB (A320), coming in as B6 1827 from EWR: landed 10:03 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ MCO is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 8am departures from MCO are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 438 · MCO → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?