Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
B6 578 · SFO → FLL
departs 10:47 AM PT · arrives 7:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 23%
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30 39%
Sat 10/31 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.