Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 588
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
B6 588 · MCO → ORH
departs 11:30 AM ET · arrives 2:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 21%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 13%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORH more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at ORH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ORH?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
11am departures from MCO are often late
↑
MCO is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORH
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORH (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.