Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 8379
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
B6 8379 · MSY → FLL
departs 11:20 PM CT · arrives 2:27 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±6 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
9%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.