Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 8590
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
B6 8590 · FLL → SAL
departs 11:55 AM ET · arrives 12:43 PM CST
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SAL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
11am departures from FLL are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into SAL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.52 in
SAL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.