Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 987
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
B6 987 · ORH → MCO
departs 3:25 PM ET · arrives 6:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30 37%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ORH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORH
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORH (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.