BA 190 · AUS → LHR

departs 8:09 PM CT · arrives 10:03 AM GMT

Your aircraft is GXWBR (A35K), coming in as BA 191 from LHR: landed 5:46 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LHR?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LHR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 190 · AUS → LHR

Odds over time

How late will it get to LHR?