Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BRITISH AIRWAYS · FLIGHT BA 2166 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

BA 2166 · TPA → LGW

departs 6:59 PM ET · arrives 7:43 AM GMT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LGW more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGW?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 6pm departures from TPA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGW

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LGW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 2166 · TPA → LGW

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGW?