BA 269 · LHR → LAX

departs 3:11 PM GMT · arrives 6:54 PM PT

Your aircraft is GSTBN (B77W), coming in as BA 272 from SAN: still at SAN, due off about 7:26 PM PT, 198 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

95% chance · ±0 pts +79 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
5%
15–30 min late
86%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 269 · LHR → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?