Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

EVA AIR · FLIGHT BR 637 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:29 AM PT, ETA 2:12 PM CST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

BR 637 · SEA → TPE

took off 10:29 AM PT · expected to land 2:12 PM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SEA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPE

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.05 in

TPE (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BR 637 · SEA → TPE

Odds over time