Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4225
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
C5 4225 · IAH → ECP
departs 9:14 AM CT · arrives 11:06 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 14%
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
C5's recent on-time record
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ECP (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.