Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4275
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
C5 4275 · CRP → IAH
departs 7:16 AM CT · arrives 8:51 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 16%
Thu 10/29 6%
Fri 10/30 14%
Sat 10/31 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
4%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
CRP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.