C5 4892 · CRP → IAH

departs 9:41 AM CT · arrives 10:51 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ 9am departures from CRP are usually not late

Weather at each end

CRP (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

IAH (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4892 · CRP → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?