C5 4896 · IAH → JAN

departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 11am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAN

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JAN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4896 · IAH → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?