Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 5013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
C5 5013 · LBB → IAH
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/30 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
C5's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LBB (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.