Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CHINA AIRLINES · FLIGHT CI 5165 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

CI 5165 · LAX → KIX

departs 6:35 PM PT · arrives 10:48 PM JST

Your aircraft is B18777 (B77L), coming in as CI 5166 from TPE: landed 3:45 PM PT.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at KIX more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

KIX (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

CI 5165 · LAX → KIX

Odds over time