tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

COPA · FLIGHT CM 403 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:36 AM ET, ETA 5:53 AM EST)
Today

CM 403 · IAD → PTY

took off 2:36 AM ET · expected to land 5:53 AM EST (scheduled 2:25 AM ET → 6:20 AM EST)
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at PTY more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.1d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PTY?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.