Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CHINA SOUTHERN · FLIGHT CZ 436 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

CZ 436 · ORD → PVG

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 9:51 AM CST

Your aircraft is B2028 (B77L), coming in as CZ 435 from ANC: landed 3:51 AM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PVG more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ CZ's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

CZ 436 · ORD → PVG

Odds over time