DL 1024 · PDX → DTW

took off 12:20 AM PT · expected to land 7:06 AM ET (scheduled 12:04 AM PT → 7:23 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 12am departures from PDX are usually not late

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.09 in

DTW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1024 · PDX → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?