Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1483
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
DL 1483 · LAX → SLC
departs 7:15 PM PT · arrives 10:04 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 18%
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30 24%
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.