DL 1521 · SNA → ATL

took off 11:40 AM PT · landed 6:24 PM ET (scheduled 11:27 AM PT → 6:50 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 11am departures from SNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1521 · SNA → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?