DL 1776 · DTW → MCO

departs 12:17 PM ET · arrives 2:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt forecast at MCO that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1776 · DTW → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?