DL 2038 · SLC → EWR

took off 12:13 AM MT · expected to land 5:58 AM ET (scheduled 12:03 AM MT → 6:26 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ 12am departures from SLC are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

EWR (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2038 · SLC → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?