Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 22 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

DL 22 · DTW → MUC

departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 5:51 AM CET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at MUC more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MUC?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MUC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 22 · DTW → MUC

Odds over time

How late will it get to MUC?