DL 2636 · RIC → DTW

departs 4:59 PM ET · arrives 6:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ RIC is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2636 · RIC → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?