Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2894 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Tuesday, October 27

DL 2894 · ORD → ATL

took off 1:39 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 1:19 PM CT → 4:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2894 · ORD → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?