DL 2968 · DTW → PHL

departs 7:05 AM ET · arrives 8:41 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2968 · DTW → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?