Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AER LINGUS · FLIGHT EI 976 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

EI 976 · BNA → DUB

departs 6:49 PM CT · arrives 7:23 AM GMT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DUB more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DUB?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DUB (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EI 976 · BNA → DUB

Odds over time

How late will it get to DUB?