Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ETHIOPIAN · FLIGHT ET 3501 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:14 PM CT, ETA 5:56 AM CET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

ET 3501 · IAH → LGG

took off 3:14 PM CT · expected to land 5:56 AM CET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LGG more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGG

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.32 in

LGG (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

ET 3501 · IAH → LGG

Odds over time