Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ETIHAD · FLIGHT EY 9 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

EY 9 · AUH → ORD

departs 4:20 PM +04 · arrives 8:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUH

Weather at each end

AUH (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EY 9 · AUH → ORD

Odds over time