Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1082 LANDED 11:30 PM ET, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27

F9 1082 · ATL → IAD

took off 10:14 PM ET · landed 11:30 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling10,314 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1082 · ATL → IAD

Odds over time