F9 1656 · CMH → FLL

departs 1:23 PM ET · arrives 4:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1656 · CMH → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?