Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1822 LANDED 6:44 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

F9 1822 · LAS → CLE

took off 12:07 AM PT · landed 6:44 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1822 · LAS → CLE

Odds over time