Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1882
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
F9 1882 · IAH → ORD
departs 11:32 AM CT · arrives 2:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 22%
Thu 10/29 26%
Fri 10/30 37%
Sat 10/31 35%
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.