Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1993
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
F9 1993 · DEN → LAS
departs 1:13 PM MT · arrives 2:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 14%
Thu 10/29 20%
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 12%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.13 mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.