Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2146 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:25 AM PT, ETA 5:31 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

F9 2146 · LAS → ORD

took off 12:25 AM PT · expected to land 5:31 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2146 · LAS → ORD

Odds over time