Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2205
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
F9 2205 · ORD → FLL
departs 8:05 AM CT · arrives 12:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 15%
Thu 10/29 35%
Fri 10/30 31%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −23 pts in 24h
−23 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.