Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2206
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
F9 2206 · FLL → ORD
departs 1:01 PM ET · arrives 3:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 18%
Thu 10/29 44%
Fri 10/30 39%
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1 36%
Mon 11/2 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.39 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.