Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2471
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
F9 2471 · EWR → DFW
departs 1:35 PM ET · arrives 4:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 14%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 43%
Sat 10/31 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.