F9 2715 · RSW → CLE

took off 1:15 PM ET · landed 3:29 PM ET (scheduled 1:14 PM ET → 4:14 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,871 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.02 in

CLE (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2715 · RSW → CLE

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLE?