Schedule: FAA flight plans.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2802 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

F9 2802 · LAS → DTW

took off 10:03 PM PT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 9:54 PM PT → 5:01 AM ET)
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
17% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 7.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DTW?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.