tailodds FORECAST

Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3174 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

F9 3174 · DEN → ORD

took off 8:59 PM MT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 9:00 PM MT → 12:38 AM CT)
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.