Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3412 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:52 PM PT, ETA 6:16 AM ET)

Tuesday, October 27 Today

F9 3412 · LAS → CVG

took off 11:52 PM PT · expected to land 6:16 AM ET (scheduled 12:17 AM PT → 7:00 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CVG?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3412 · LAS → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?