F9 3862 · SLC → DEN

departs 8:16 AM MT · arrives 10:01 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +30 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 8am departures from SLC are usually not late

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3862 · SLC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?